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Peter Hitchens

By , May 19, 2013 10:24 am

Peter Hitchens
By: The Irish Savant (sent by Invictus) on: 19.05.2013 [12:13 ] (69 reads)

I’m not a great fan of Peter Hitchens. After all, a writer who can complete an in-depth analysis of Detroit’s catastrophic decline and not mention the ‘r’ word is either grossly incompetent or deeply dishonest. In Hitchens’ case it’s definitely the latter. He’s been doing a lot of mea culpa stuff lately and here’s more of it. Let’s not forget his bad deeds but welcome his arrival in the world of reality.

The following is good.

It wasn’t because we liked immigrants, but because we didn’t like Britain. We saw immigrants – from anywhere – as allies against the staid, settled, conservative society that our country still was at the end of the Sixties. Also, we liked to feel oh, so superior to the bewildered people – usually in the poorest parts of Britain – who found their neighbourhoods suddenly transformed into supposedly ‘vibrant communities’. If they dared to express the mildest objections, we called them bigots.

Revolutionary students didn’t come from such ‘vibrant’ areas (we came, as far as I could tell, mostly from Surrey and the nicer parts of London). We might live in ‘vibrant’ places for a few (usually squalid) years, amid unmown lawns and overflowing dustbins. But we did so as irresponsible, childless transients – not as homeowners, or as parents of school-age children, or as old people hoping for a bit of serenity at the ends of their lives. When we graduated and began to earn serious money, we generally headed for expensive London enclaves and became extremely choosy about where our children went to school, a choice we happily denied the urban poor, the ones we sneered at as ‘racists’.What did we know, or care, of the great silent revolution which even then was beginning to transform the lives of the British poor?

h ttp://irishsavant.blogspot.com/2013/05/peter-hitchens.html

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Improvised Explosive Devices Are Here to Stay

By , May 19, 2013 9:21 am

A decade of combat operations in Iraq and Afghanistan has confirmed that improvised explosive devices, or IEDs, are the weapon of choice for threat networks around the globe. While there are obvious differences between these two conflicts, there are also common threads and lessons to be learned.

As Iraq fades from view and the United States focuses increasingly on post-2014 Afghanistan, I fear that some will view the threat from these networks and IEDs as aberrations, unique to the Middle East or South Asia and to these two operations. Unfortunately, trends and evidence show that threat networks using IEDs are here to stay.

IEDs are makeshift weapons incorporating destructive and lethal chemicals, military or commercially available explosives, or homemade explosives. The supplies used to assemble IEDs are cheap and readily available at hardware stores. While the networks that employ IEDs seek instability, others have used this indiscriminate weapon outside of battle-torn regions, as was underscored in last month’s attack in Boston.

More than 60 percent of U.S. combat casualties in Iraq and Afghanistan — 3,200 killed and 33,100 wounded since 2001 — stem from IEDs. We and our allies face an agile, adaptive and resilient enemy whose ease of access to IED materials and unfettered ability to collaborate and coordinate by social media and elsewhere on the Internet make this weapon an enduring challenge for our military forces and our domestic security partners.

Analysis of how unique tactics, tools and financing are connected among different splinters of the threat network has produced empirical evidence that as these networks migrate, their weapon of choice follows. The IED is being used in Syria, Mali, Algeria, Somalia and every other global hot spot, and no change is likely in the near future. For example, the terror group Hezb-e-Islami used female suicide bombers, a method originated by the Tamil Tigers in Sri Lanka, during a September attack in Afghanistan. This is the same group that claimed responsibility for the suicide car bombing of a NATO convoy in Kabul on Thursday.

Around the world, there have been more than 700 IED explosions each month outside of Iraq and Afghanistan — for a total of more than 17,000 explosions in 123 countries since January 2011. These statistics clearly indicate that IEDs will remain a threat for the foreseeable future.

Because of this, we must capture the lessons of Iraq and Afghanistan and, despite budgetary and other pressures, institutionalize them in our security framework. Some to consider include:

●Threat networks learn and adapt. They are more agile and flatter than our government, and they operate seamlessly. They use the Internet to communicate, raise funds and share intelligence. We must become equally adaptable, agile and flexible.

●The enemy is a master of off-the-shelf and dual-use components. They use ordinary containers, commercial fertilizer, wire, discarded batteries and scraps of wood to construct weapons. We, along with our allies, must figure out how to make it more difficult to use these commonplace supplies for illicit activities.

●We must resist the inertia to return to our pre-2003 processes; instead, we must develop a rapid and responsive acquisition process. As one commander told me, “We are in an arms race, but instead of years, the enemy innovates in days, weeks or months.”

● We must see this as more than a military problem. Drones cannot be used to strike our way out and armor is not enough to combat the IED threat. Success against a bureaucratically unencumbered enemy requires a seamless, holistic approach that integrates all partners — military, federal, state, local, private-sector and multinational allies.

●Money is the lifeblood of these networks, so we must attack threat networks where it hurts most: their bank accounts. Our current approach is disjointed, with too many organizations doing too little. Identifying the junctions between money, geography, IED materials, social networks, legitimate entities and government is difficult — but when we do succeed, the United States can disrupt global threat networks that use IEDs.

●Training is invaluable. Our best counter to IEDs is a well-trained soldier. We can provide the best and most innovative counter-IED capabilities to our war-fighters, law enforcement and first responders, but without the relevant training, the full capacity of equipment and tactics will never be achieved.

●We must identify and continue to invest in capabilities to counter the evolving threat from IEDs. During my tenure focused on this threat, commanders in the field have acknowledged two tactical “game changers”: constant surveillance from advances in manned and unmanned aircraft, and the application of law-enforcement forensic and biometric techniques on the battlefield. These capabilities remove violent extremists’ greatest defense — anonymity — and make them vulnerable to attribution and enable action. We must develop the next game-changing advances.

●Threat networks do not differentiate between overseas military operations and the homeland. We cannot allow self-inflicted statutory, regulatory and bureaucratic challenges to impede our response to an unencumbered, agile enemy intent on bringing the fight to our domestic soil.

Global threat networks are not going to cease operations or stop developing IEDs after coalition forces leave Afghanistan. Their weapon of choice has proven too effective, cheap and easy to make. The U.S. military must capture and institutionalize the hard-earned knowledge and expertise from 10 years of conflict, and share this with our domestic security partners. That is the only way to stay ahead of evolving threats and imaginative bombmakers.

Read more from Opinions: David Ignatius: The limits of intelligence collection Dan Berschinski: Extending leadership on disability issues Reuel Marc Gerecht: The CIA’s interrogation program deserves a public airing George F. Will: A case for targeted killings David Barno and Matthew Irvine: How to fight in Afghanistan with fewer U.S. troops.

By Michael D. Barbero
Washington Post

Army Lt. Gen. Michael D. Barbero directs the Defense Department’s Joint Improvised Explosive Device Defeat Organization.

Assyrian International News Agency

Shell to Start Majnoon Oil Output

By , May 19, 2013 9:11 am

Posted on 18 May 2013.

Shell to Start Majnoon Oil Output

By John Lee.

Shell is to start producing crude at the Majnoon oil field (pictured) as early as next month.

Bloomberg quotes the company’s regional vice president, Mounir Bouaziz, as saying that output will start “around mid-year” and increase to 175,000 bpd by the end of 2013.

He said that the project had faced “teething problems”, mainly due to the unexpected quantities of unexploded munitions at the field, customs-related delays of imported equipment and slow processing of entry visas, but added, “however, what is encouraging is that we do see real improvements in these administrative processes.

(Source: Bloomberg)

Associated Gas

Shell and its partner Mitsubishi Corp. (8058) started operations on May 1 at a $ 17 billion joint venture for salvaging gas from fields in southern Iraq. The venture, Basrah Gas Co., is now capturing 400 million cubic feet a day of so-called associated gas, which occurs together with crude, Bouaziz said. Iraq estimates that it’s losing millions of dollars by flaring off some 700 million cubic feet of gas because it lacks facilities to store and sell the fuel.

Basrah Gas will start within 18 months exporting liquefied petroleum gas, which is used for cooking and heating homes, he said. Iraq currently imports 500 metric tons to 1,000 tons of LPG a day, while it flares 4,000 tons daily, Bouaziz said.

The venture may eventually produce liquified natural gas.

“Considering the amount of gas that will be produced in Iraq, it is very likely that the Basrah Gas Co. LNG project will be needed,” he said. A final decision would be up to state-owned South Gas Co., the venture’s majority shareholder, Bouaziz said.

Iraq Business News

Peter Hitchens

By , May 19, 2013 7:42 am

Peter Hitchens
By: The Irish Savant (sent by Invictus) on: 19.05.2013 [12:13 ] (32 reads)

I’m not a great fan of Peter Hitchens. After all, a writer who can complete an in-depth analysis of Detroit’s catastrophic decline and not mention the ‘r’ word is either grossly incompetent or deeply dishonest. In Hitchens’ case it’s definitely the latter. He’s been doing a lot of mea culpa stuff lately and here’s more of it. Let’s not forget his bad deeds but welcome his arrival in the world of reality.

The following is good.

It wasn’t because we liked immigrants, but because we didn’t like Britain. We saw immigrants – from anywhere – as allies against the staid, settled, conservative society that our country still was at the end of the Sixties. Also, we liked to feel oh, so superior to the bewildered people – usually in the poorest parts of Britain – who found their neighbourhoods suddenly transformed into supposedly ‘vibrant communities’. If they dared to express the mildest objections, we called them bigots.

Revolutionary students didn’t come from such ‘vibrant’ areas (we came, as far as I could tell, mostly from Surrey and the nicer parts of London). We might live in ‘vibrant’ places for a few (usually squalid) years, amid unmown lawns and overflowing dustbins. But we did so as irresponsible, childless transients – not as homeowners, or as parents of school-age children, or as old people hoping for a bit of serenity at the ends of their lives. When we graduated and began to earn serious money, we generally headed for expensive London enclaves and became extremely choosy about where our children went to school, a choice we happily denied the urban poor, the ones we sneered at as ‘racists’.What did we know, or care, of the great silent revolution which even then was beginning to transform the lives of the British poor?

h ttp://irishsavant.blogspot.com/2013/05/peter-hitchens.html

iraqwar.mirror-world.ru (en) RSS feed for articles and news

Jordan to Host “World’s Largest Refugee Camp”

By , May 19, 2013 5:57 am

As violence in Syria continues, the al-Zaatari refugee camp in Jordan is on pace to become the largest in the world.

Jordan’s al-Zaatari refugee camp is currently home to 160,000 Syrian refugees (Dahr Jamail/Al Jazeera)

Amman, Jordan – Al-Zaatari refugee camp near Jordan’s northern border with Syria is the second largest refugee camp in the world. On days when violence in Syria worsens, between 2,000-4,000 Syrians flood into Zaatari, and the stories they tell are horrific.

“Things are happening in Syria that our minds couldn’t even imagine,” 65-year-old Nada Salim Abdullah, who has been in the camp four months, told Al Jazeera. “People were being captured and they were slaughtering them like chickens.”

Abdullah, who fled his home in Deraa with his family, spoke of atrocities committed by forces loyal to President Bashar al-Assad. Other refugees told Al Jazeera of atrocities carried out by opposition forces.

Nearly half a million Syrian refugees have crossed into Jordan since the conflict began, and according to Jordan’s interior ministry, the Zaatari camp is now the fifth largest population centre in the country.

Jordan’s Hussein Majali (left) and UNHCR’s Andrew Harper (2nd left) said the country needed more help (Dahr Jamail / Al Jazeera)

If the trend of violence in Syria generating this number of refugees continues, Zaatari will become the largest refugee camp on Earth by the end of the year. Dadaab, near the Somali border in Kenya, is often referred to as currently being the largest, and is estimated to be hosting nearly 500,000 refugees.

Needing help

“We need the UN’s assistance, and we need it immediately,” Jordanian Minister of Interior Hussein Majali told Al Jazeera at a press conference.

Majali, was speaking alongside UNHCR head Andrew Harper, and had nothing but high praise for the UN’s efforts, but said more still needed to be done.

“We could see two million refugees in Jordan by the end of the year,” Majali added. “This crisis is affecting Jordan on every level, healthcare, economically, education, all our sectors are being stressed.”

Meanwhile, the rate of killing in the Syrian conflict has reached a new high.

According to the UK-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, an average of 196 people died each day in April, which is an increase from 190 per day in March.

The opposition group said there had been an increase in civilian deaths, as nearly half of the nearly 6,000 people killed last month were civilians.

Meanwhile, the refugee population of Zaatari continues to grow – with new refugees arriving from both outside and inside the camp.

“Sources tell us there are now up to 66 births daily inside Zaatari,” Majali added.

Jordan already has a large refugee population. Aside from more than 300,000 Palestinians living in refugee camps here, many Iraqis remain in Jordan as a result of the US-led invasion and occupation of their country.

Saleh al-Kilani said Jordan was desperate for more international support in the refugee crisis (Dahr Jamail / Al Jazeera)

According to the refugee affairs coordinator for Jordan’s ministry of interior, Saleh al-Kilani, his country already hosted 750,000 refugees before the Syrian conflict began, and now has more than 1,250,000.

“53,000 refugees entered here in April alone,” Kilani told Al Jazeera. “We also have thousands of what we call double refugees, which are Palestinian refugees who were in Syria who had to come here, in addition to Iraqi refugees in Syria who had to flee here.”

Kilani said the refugee crisis is costing the Jordanian government 2,500 Jordanian Dinars (approximately $ 3,500) per refugee per year, and his government has already spent $ 826 million on the current crisis.

“We never turn any refugee away, but we’ve not been fully compensated by the international community for these costs,” he added.

While Jordan’s policy of welcoming Syrian refugees is commended by the international community, the government here has its critics as well.

Jordan as proxy

“The Jordanian government is under immense pressure from Qatar and Saudi Arabia. This coupled with the economic problems here has pressured Jordan to pursue policies that are in line with the Gulf states, the Americans, and the West,” Jordanian writer and political analyst Labib Kamhawi told Al Jazeera.

Kamhawi believes that the Jordanian government has intentionally “overblown” the refugee figures in order to gain sympathy in the West “towards policies aimed to be militarily involved and get rid of Assad”.

“The Gulf states want to show that Syrians are being ravaged and killed by their own regime and they had to run away,” he said. “And the west was trying to address the human rights emotions to create a case against Assad. Meanwhile, the Jordanian regime has an interest in overblown figures to attract more aid money to Jordan.”

With the Syrian conflict in its third year, its implications have been increasingly felt across the region.

Chuck Hagel, US defence secretary, says Washington is deploying up to 200 troops to Jordan with the aim to contain the violence on the Syrian border. He also spoke of the possibility of setting up a buffer zone across the area.

The Jordanian government says that designating a safe corridor in the Syrian province of Daraa would help reduce the growing number of refugees pouring into Jordan. The area could provide shelter and protection for displaced Syrians and a base for the opposition. But some people say it could also be used to launch an international military intervention.

Some analysts are convinced that if the buffer zone had not been Washington’s idea, Jordanian officials would not be talking about it.

“It will be part of a wider plan to control Syria, especially after the collapse of the regime, because the US does not make such decisions based on humanitarian needs of Syrians or to protect the Syrians,” Lamis Andoni, a writer and analyst, told Al Jazeera. “It wants to make sure that an area that close to Israel is under control.”

Kamhawi agrees.

“We have to understand that the first priority for the West and the US is the well-being and security of Israel. Jordan is viewed by the Israelis as an extension of their national security. What happens to and in Jordan is thus seen as a matter of national security for Israel. So the Jordanian government has always held its special relationship with Israel as something sacred, and they will not allow others to influence this. Jordan is keen not to upset Israel.”

Kamhawi believes that if Jordan were ever pressured into taking a position, it would never take a position that would jeopardise its relationship with Israel, “even if it was negative for the Syrian people”.

For solutions to Jordan’s dilemma, he offered several.

“Jordan should not allow any state to use Jordanian land or skies to attack Syria in any way,” Kamhawi said, alluding to the recent Israeli air strikes in Syria. “Second, it should not also be part of general policies aimed towards fuelling this civil war in Syria. Third, it should work more positively towards creating a peaceful platform to reach a peaceful settlement for the Syrian crisis, and not leave it like this – draining the country into partitioning it or killing and destroying everything there, which is happening now.”

But as things are now, Kamhawi, like many other analysts, doesn’t see any of these solutions coming to pass. Kamhawi sees the conflict in Syria as what could be a pre-cursor for a later attack against Iran.

“Why did the Americans want to change Assad? He was a good partner with the Israelis. The Golan Heights, it was quiet for 40 years. But I think that the US could not attack Iran directly, so I think they want to dismantle the Iran-Syria-Hezbollah alliance that is helping Iran, and by doing so they think Iran will be isolated. For every major event that happens in this region, one must always look towards Israel for the reason.”

Save the Children runs programmes to help thousands of Syrian children each day (Dahr Jamail / Al Jazeera)

“So it’s a proxy war, in preparation for a bigger war against Iran,” he continued. “They [Israel and the West] are reorganising the region. Not to forget the immense discovery of gas in the Mediterranean off the Syrian, Palestinian, and Lebanese coasts. So this area is gaining more strategic importance than anytime before.”

Meanwhile, the violence in Syria continues each day, and the refugees continue to flow into Jordan.

Helping children

Most of the world’s major refugee NGOs and organisations now operate in the ever-expanding Zaatari camp.

While the crisis is at present overwhelming, one of the few silver linings can be found in some of the programmes run by Save the Children.

“We have classrooms for the kids, and we assist via psycho-social support for kids through the parents,” Save the Children’s Dima Hunaiti told Al Jazeera. “We help teach the parents how to deal with their children under these traumatic circumstances.”

The NGO currently serves roughly 3,300 children daily across their facilities here, and offers children a safe environment to spend time, learn, play, and express their feelings.

However, even Hunaiti would be quick to admit that more needs to be done, given that estimates show that, of the approximately 160,000 total refugees in the camp, at least 60 per cent of them are under the age of 18.

A Syrian girl draws in a Save the Children programme. The script under the crying eyes reads “Syria” (Dahr Jamail / Al lJazeera)

“We were the first here at the camp,” she added. “We hire Syrian refugees to work in the kindergarten, as guards, and in our multi-activity centres. All this is good, yet the camp still needs more water, and better solutions for the latrines and washrooms. These are ongoing issues.”

One of the Syrian volunteers, who asked to be referred to as “Maher”, told Al Jazeera that he was grateful for the opportunity to work with the NGO.

“I was in a very bad psychological situation before,” he said. “But this has helped my mood. But it’s difficult to see the kids who are often so tired, because they are always busy hauling water for their families.”

And, daily, more families and children are coming into the camp, desperate for assistance and support.

Ongoing suffering

The stories refugees are telling of what was happening in Syria when they fled have many similarities.

“We ran from the random shelling,” 39-year-old Ali told Al Jazeera. He and his family, from southern Syria, left their farm when the fighting broke out around them.

At least 60 percent of Zaatari camp residents are under 18 (Dahr Jamail / Al Jazeera)

“We’ve been here six months now, and all we want to do is have security and to be able to go back to our homes.”

Most refugees were asking for more water, more food, and solutions to the hygiene problems and water-borne disease problems within the camp.

A young girl named Delaa, whose skin was sunburned, politely asked for sun cream. While she would not complain about the aforementioned problems, her understatement about her situation spoke volumes.

When asked why she and her family fled, she replied: “We ran from the shelling on our houses. It was not good. It’s not good here either. I just want to sit in my own home in safety and security.”

Like most of the refugees Al Jazeera spoke with, Abdullah and his family from Deraa also just wanr to be able to return home.

“We only want peace,” he said. “But the whole world now seems involved in this conflict.”

Dahr Jamail

Jordan to Host “World’s Largest Refugee Camp”

By , May 19, 2013 5:57 am

As violence in Syria continues, the al-Zaatari refugee camp in Jordan is on pace to become the largest in the world.

Jordan’s al-Zaatari refugee camp is currently home to 160,000 Syrian refugees (Dahr Jamail/Al Jazeera)

Amman, Jordan – Al-Zaatari refugee camp near Jordan’s northern border with Syria is the second largest refugee camp in the world. On days when violence in Syria worsens, between 2,000-4,000 Syrians flood into Zaatari, and the stories they tell are horrific.

“Things are happening in Syria that our minds couldn’t even imagine,” 65-year-old Nada Salim Abdullah, who has been in the camp four months, told Al Jazeera. “People were being captured and they were slaughtering them like chickens.”

Abdullah, who fled his home in Deraa with his family, spoke of atrocities committed by forces loyal to President Bashar al-Assad. Other refugees told Al Jazeera of atrocities carried out by opposition forces.

Nearly half a million Syrian refugees have crossed into Jordan since the conflict began, and according to Jordan’s interior ministry, the Zaatari camp is now the fifth largest population centre in the country.

Jordan’s Hussein Majali (left) and UNHCR’s Andrew Harper (2nd left) said the country needed more help (Dahr Jamail / Al Jazeera)

If the trend of violence in Syria generating this number of refugees continues, Zaatari will become the largest refugee camp on Earth by the end of the year. Dadaab, near the Somali border in Kenya, is often referred to as currently being the largest, and is estimated to be hosting nearly 500,000 refugees.

Needing help

“We need the UN’s assistance, and we need it immediately,” Jordanian Minister of Interior Hussein Majali told Al Jazeera at a press conference.

Majali, was speaking alongside UNHCR head Andrew Harper, and had nothing but high praise for the UN’s efforts, but said more still needed to be done.

“We could see two million refugees in Jordan by the end of the year,” Majali added. “This crisis is affecting Jordan on every level, healthcare, economically, education, all our sectors are being stressed.”

Meanwhile, the rate of killing in the Syrian conflict has reached a new high.

According to the UK-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, an average of 196 people died each day in April, which is an increase from 190 per day in March.

The opposition group said there had been an increase in civilian deaths, as nearly half of the nearly 6,000 people killed last month were civilians.

Meanwhile, the refugee population of Zaatari continues to grow – with new refugees arriving from both outside and inside the camp.

“Sources tell us there are now up to 66 births daily inside Zaatari,” Majali added.

Jordan already has a large refugee population. Aside from more than 300,000 Palestinians living in refugee camps here, many Iraqis remain in Jordan as a result of the US-led invasion and occupation of their country.

Saleh al-Kilani said Jordan was desperate for more international support in the refugee crisis (Dahr Jamail / Al Jazeera)

According to the refugee affairs coordinator for Jordan’s ministry of interior, Saleh al-Kilani, his country already hosted 750,000 refugees before the Syrian conflict began, and now has more than 1,250,000.

“53,000 refugees entered here in April alone,” Kilani told Al Jazeera. “We also have thousands of what we call double refugees, which are Palestinian refugees who were in Syria who had to come here, in addition to Iraqi refugees in Syria who had to flee here.”

Kilani said the refugee crisis is costing the Jordanian government 2,500 Jordanian Dinars (approximately $ 3,500) per refugee per year, and his government has already spent $ 826 million on the current crisis.

“We never turn any refugee away, but we’ve not been fully compensated by the international community for these costs,” he added.

While Jordan’s policy of welcoming Syrian refugees is commended by the international community, the government here has its critics as well.

Jordan as proxy

“The Jordanian government is under immense pressure from Qatar and Saudi Arabia. This coupled with the economic problems here has pressured Jordan to pursue policies that are in line with the Gulf states, the Americans, and the West,” Jordanian writer and political analyst Labib Kamhawi told Al Jazeera.

Kamhawi believes that the Jordanian government has intentionally “overblown” the refugee figures in order to gain sympathy in the West “towards policies aimed to be militarily involved and get rid of Assad”.

“The Gulf states want to show that Syrians are being ravaged and killed by their own regime and they had to run away,” he said. “And the west was trying to address the human rights emotions to create a case against Assad. Meanwhile, the Jordanian regime has an interest in overblown figures to attract more aid money to Jordan.”

With the Syrian conflict in its third year, its implications have been increasingly felt across the region.

Chuck Hagel, US defence secretary, says Washington is deploying up to 200 troops to Jordan with the aim to contain the violence on the Syrian border. He also spoke of the possibility of setting up a buffer zone across the area.

The Jordanian government says that designating a safe corridor in the Syrian province of Daraa would help reduce the growing number of refugees pouring into Jordan. The area could provide shelter and protection for displaced Syrians and a base for the opposition. But some people say it could also be used to launch an international military intervention.

Some analysts are convinced that if the buffer zone had not been Washington’s idea, Jordanian officials would not be talking about it.

“It will be part of a wider plan to control Syria, especially after the collapse of the regime, because the US does not make such decisions based on humanitarian needs of Syrians or to protect the Syrians,” Lamis Andoni, a writer and analyst, told Al Jazeera. “It wants to make sure that an area that close to Israel is under control.”

Kamhawi agrees.

“We have to understand that the first priority for the West and the US is the well-being and security of Israel. Jordan is viewed by the Israelis as an extension of their national security. What happens to and in Jordan is thus seen as a matter of national security for Israel. So the Jordanian government has always held its special relationship with Israel as something sacred, and they will not allow others to influence this. Jordan is keen not to upset Israel.”

Kamhawi believes that if Jordan were ever pressured into taking a position, it would never take a position that would jeopardise its relationship with Israel, “even if it was negative for the Syrian people”.

For solutions to Jordan’s dilemma, he offered several.

“Jordan should not allow any state to use Jordanian land or skies to attack Syria in any way,” Kamhawi said, alluding to the recent Israeli air strikes in Syria. “Second, it should not also be part of general policies aimed towards fuelling this civil war in Syria. Third, it should work more positively towards creating a peaceful platform to reach a peaceful settlement for the Syrian crisis, and not leave it like this – draining the country into partitioning it or killing and destroying everything there, which is happening now.”

But as things are now, Kamhawi, like many other analysts, doesn’t see any of these solutions coming to pass. Kamhawi sees the conflict in Syria as what could be a pre-cursor for a later attack against Iran.

“Why did the Americans want to change Assad? He was a good partner with the Israelis. The Golan Heights, it was quiet for 40 years. But I think that the US could not attack Iran directly, so I think they want to dismantle the Iran-Syria-Hezbollah alliance that is helping Iran, and by doing so they think Iran will be isolated. For every major event that happens in this region, one must always look towards Israel for the reason.”

Save the Children runs programmes to help thousands of Syrian children each day (Dahr Jamail / Al Jazeera)

“So it’s a proxy war, in preparation for a bigger war against Iran,” he continued. “They [Israel and the West] are reorganising the region. Not to forget the immense discovery of gas in the Mediterranean off the Syrian, Palestinian, and Lebanese coasts. So this area is gaining more strategic importance than anytime before.”

Meanwhile, the violence in Syria continues each day, and the refugees continue to flow into Jordan.

Helping children

Most of the world’s major refugee NGOs and organisations now operate in the ever-expanding Zaatari camp.

While the crisis is at present overwhelming, one of the few silver linings can be found in some of the programmes run by Save the Children.

“We have classrooms for the kids, and we assist via psycho-social support for kids through the parents,” Save the Children’s Dima Hunaiti told Al Jazeera. “We help teach the parents how to deal with their children under these traumatic circumstances.”

The NGO currently serves roughly 3,300 children daily across their facilities here, and offers children a safe environment to spend time, learn, play, and express their feelings.

However, even Hunaiti would be quick to admit that more needs to be done, given that estimates show that, of the approximately 160,000 total refugees in the camp, at least 60 per cent of them are under the age of 18.

A Syrian girl draws in a Save the Children programme. The script under the crying eyes reads “Syria” (Dahr Jamail / Al lJazeera)

“We were the first here at the camp,” she added. “We hire Syrian refugees to work in the kindergarten, as guards, and in our multi-activity centres. All this is good, yet the camp still needs more water, and better solutions for the latrines and washrooms. These are ongoing issues.”

One of the Syrian volunteers, who asked to be referred to as “Maher”, told Al Jazeera that he was grateful for the opportunity to work with the NGO.

“I was in a very bad psychological situation before,” he said. “But this has helped my mood. But it’s difficult to see the kids who are often so tired, because they are always busy hauling water for their families.”

And, daily, more families and children are coming into the camp, desperate for assistance and support.

Ongoing suffering

The stories refugees are telling of what was happening in Syria when they fled have many similarities.

“We ran from the random shelling,” 39-year-old Ali told Al Jazeera. He and his family, from southern Syria, left their farm when the fighting broke out around them.

At least 60 percent of Zaatari camp residents are under 18 (Dahr Jamail / Al Jazeera)

“We’ve been here six months now, and all we want to do is have security and to be able to go back to our homes.”

Most refugees were asking for more water, more food, and solutions to the hygiene problems and water-borne disease problems within the camp.

A young girl named Delaa, whose skin was sunburned, politely asked for sun cream. While she would not complain about the aforementioned problems, her understatement about her situation spoke volumes.

When asked why she and her family fled, she replied: “We ran from the shelling on our houses. It was not good. It’s not good here either. I just want to sit in my own home in safety and security.”

Like most of the refugees Al Jazeera spoke with, Abdullah and his family from Deraa also just wanr to be able to return home.

“We only want peace,” he said. “But the whole world now seems involved in this conflict.”

Dahr Jamail

Speculations About End of QE Pushes Dollar Upward

By , May 19, 2013 5:04 am

Focus on one US dollarThis week was relatively quiet in terms of news, though some important macroeconomic reports were released. Meanwhile, the US dollar was rising against other most-traded currencies and the Dollar Index surged to the highest level in almost three years.

As was expected, the dollar managed to rally despite possible obstacles. The major driver of the gains was speculation that the Federal Reserve will end its quantitative easing program. This week’s macroeconomic data was bad for the most part and, truth be told, did not support the outlook for reduced stimulus. Yet this did not prevent talks about QE end to persist.

The euro had its share of problems that pushed it down against the greenback, the major of which were the miserable GDP reports from Germany, France and the whole eurozone. Commodity currencies, including the Australian and Canadian dollar, were particularly weak versus the US dollar. The Aussie was falling for 9 sessions in 10 days.

EUR/USD dropped from 1.2967 to 1.2826, the lowest weekly close since March. GBP/USD sank from 1.5351 to 1.5164, also the weakest weekly closing rate since March. USD/JPY jumped from 101.85 to 103.27 — the highest since October 2008. USD/CAD jumped from 1.0115 to 1.0290, the strongest weekly closing price since July. AUD/CAD tumbled from 0.9999 to 0.9723 — the low not seen since June.

If you have any questions, comments or opinions regarding the US Dollar, feel free to post them using the commentary form below.

Forex News

N. Korea fires 3 short-range guided missiles into its eastern waters, South reports

By , May 19, 2013 4:59 am

N. Korea fires 3 short-range guided missiles into its eastern waters, South reports
By: Chico Harlan on: 19.05.2013 [07:48 ] (45 reads)

N. Korea fires 3 short-range guided missiles into its eastern waters, South reports

By Chico Harlan, Published: May 18

TOKYO — North Korea on Saturday launched three short-range guided missiles off its eastern coast, South Korea’s National Defense Ministry said, a test of the tentative calm that has emerged on the peninsula after a period of heightened tensions last month.

Ministry officials said the North fired its missiles toward the northeast — away from the South — where they then dropped into the sea. Japan said the missiles did not fall into its waters.

The North commonly fires off short-range missiles — the previous such launch came two months ago — and analysts said this move was unlikely to rekindle tensions that have abated in recent weeks as Washington and Seoul ponder a new round of talks with Pyongyang.

The South’s Defense Ministry said in a statement released on its official Twitter account that it was “maintaining full readiness” in the event that the guided-missile firing “leads to other provocations or additional missile launches.”

The North launched two missiles in the morning and a third in the afternoon, the South said. The staggered launches could be part of a military training exercise or a simple test of the country’s technology. The North could also be sending a message to the United States, which one week before docked a nuclear-powered aircraft carrier, the USS Nimitz, in the South Korean port city of Busan. The North on Monday called the Nimitz’s port call a “fresh tinderbox to escalate the tension.”

An unnamed South Korean official told the Yonhap news agency that the North probably used KN-02 missiles, known for their accuracy and relatively short range — roughly 75 miles, according to the Pentagon.

The North, which has been the target of several rounds of increasingly tough U.N. Security Council sanctions, is banned from testing ballistic missiles. But it routinely ignores the ban for the sake of improving its weapons technology and threatening its neighbors and the United States.

Most of the international attention focuses on North Korea’s long- and intermediate-range weapons, which could be used to strike the U.S. mainland or military bases in Japan and Guam. The North’s stated goal is to equip such missiles with miniaturized nuclear weapons, and U.S. officials are divided on whether Pyongyang already has such a capability.

Over the past seven years, North Korea has launched five long-range missiles or satellite-carrying rockets — most recently in December, when for the first time the authoritarian nation placed a satellite into orbit.

Analysts in Seoul said the North’s latest test-firing is a relatively restrained move, given its pledges weeks earlier to launch preemptive nuclear strikes on the United States and its allies. As tensions soared in early April, the North also placed at the ready on its eastern coast two midrange Musudan missiles, a yet-untested model with an estimated range of 2,000 miles. Those Musudans were later withdrawn.

The launch of the short-range missiles Saturday “is not a matter to which South Korea can turn a blind eye, as it’s a kind of provocation,” said Shin Beom-chul, a researcher at the Seoul-based Korea Institute for Defense Analyses. “The fact that these were not midrange missiles like the Musudan reflects North Korea’s intention to maintain the tension on the peninsula but not raise it to the highest level.”

http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/asia_pacific/n-korea-fires-3-short-range-guided-missiles-into-its-eastern-waters-south-reports/2013/05/18/94c8a858-bf9e-11e2-9b09-1638acc3942e_print.html

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Breitling Report: 5/18/2013

By , May 19, 2013 4:18 am