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Canadian Inflation Pushes Loonie to New Highs

By , November 21, 2014 1:50 pm

A fan of 100-dollar notesThe Canadian dollar rose today, touching the highest level in a month against its US counterpart, as Canada’s inflation exceeded expectations. The currency also rallied to the strongest level in a year versus the euro and reached a new multi-year high against the Japanese yen.

The Canadian Consumer Price Index rose 0.1 percent in October from September on a seasonally adjusted basis while economists expected a drop. The core CPI was up 0.2 percent (seasonally adjusted) last month, at same rate as in September and August.

The positive data led to speculations that the Bank of Canada will start raising interest rates sooner. Indeed, the central bank did not mention “neutral” stance of policy going forward in the statement of its last policy meeting. Analysts think the change to the language suggests that Canadian policy makers are less dovish than they have been before. It is unlikely that the BoC will tighten monetary policy sooner than the Federal Reserve, but the current policy outlook is supportive for the Canadian currency nonetheless.

USD/CAD went down from 1.1303 to 1.1238 as of 20:23 GMT today while its daily low of 1.1190 was the lowest since October 31. EUR/CAD sank from 1.4174 to 1.3920, trading near the weakest level since November 7, 2013. CAD/JPY rallied from 104.51 to 104.73, touching the maximum of 105.31 intraday — the strongest rate since August 2008.

If you have any questions, comments or opinions regarding the Canadian Dollar, feel free to post them using the commentary form below.

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Canadian Dollar Holds to Gains

By , November 13, 2014 7:11 am

Canadian coins on Canadian dollar billsCanadian dollar is holding to gains made yesterday, following the announcement of positive employment news. Loonie is managing to hold its own a bit better now that oil prices seem to have stabilized somewhat, and with economic data remaining fairly positive.

Loonie is a little bit higher against the US dollar today, maintaining some of its gains from yesterday. Additionally the Canadian dollar is higher than the UK pound, which is still reeling from economic data disappointment.

Canadian data has been relatively positive, with employment numbers showing strength. And, even though the budget surplus for next year will be lower than originally expected, the reality is that many analysts think that the family-friendly measures reducing the surplus will help the Canadian economy.

Also helping the loonie right now is the fact that oil prices seem to be stabilizing. Oil prices have been dropping rather quickly, but they seem to have leveled off a little bit, even though the price of crude is slightly lower today. Canada relies on oil for economic growth, so stabilizing prices are helpful.

At 11:29 GMT USD/CAD is lower, falling to 1.1308 from the open at 1.1316. EUR/CAD is higher, moving up to 1.4099 from the open at 1.4070. GBP/CAD is lower, falling to 1.7831 from the open at 1.7862.

If you have any questions, comments or opinions regarding the Canadian Dollar, feel free to post them using the commentary form below.

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Canadian Warplanes Launch First Airstrike in Iraq

By , November 3, 2014 9:23 am

Canadian Warplanes Launch First Airstrike in Iraq

Posted 2014-11-03 02:28 GMT

(AP) — Canadian warplanes involved in the U.S.-led bombing campaign against militants in Iraq have launched their first airstrikes since deploying to the region.

A statement from Defense Minister Rob Nicholson’s office on Sunday said two fighter jets attacked targets in the vicinity of Fallujah with laser-guided bombs and safely returned to their base in Kuwait. Few other details were immediately released.

Canada has deployed six CF-18s along with a C-150 Polaris and two CP-140 Aurora surveillance aircraft as its contribution to the bombing campaign against the Islamic State group, which has seized large parts of Iraq and Syria. About Canadian 600 airmen and airwomen are involved.

Following a request from the U.S., Canada’s Parliament voted last month to authorize the airstrikes. The motion authorized air strikes in Iraq for up to six months and explicitly stated that no ground troops be used in combat operations.

Canada is among dozens of countries that have joined the U.S.-led coalition fighting the Islamic State group.

Assyrian International News Agency

Canadian Dollar Trades Mixed Against Major Counterparts

By , October 30, 2014 5:48 am

A fan of 100-dollar notesCanadian dollar is trading mixed today, thanks to the latest comments from central bankers. Information from the Federal Reserve, as well as testimony from the Bank of Canada’s Stephen Poloz, are contributing to the loonie’s losses to the US dollar.

The Canadian dollar is moving lower today against the US dollar, but still has the upper hand against the euro. Loonie is heading lower against the greenback after the release of a statement from the Federal Reserve ending its asset purchase program. This is as expected, and now the speculation about when interest rates will rise begins in earnest.

Stephen Poloz, from the Bank of Canada, is also having an impact. His testimony before the Senate banking committee wasn’t particularly upbeat, and that is impacting the loonie’s performance against the greenback. Poloz remarked on falling oil prices, and said that he thought that they could affect Canada’s GDP in 2015.

The greenback’s gains continue to underscore the policy divergence between Canada and the United States. The BOC still plans to keep rates low, and the Fed is showing signs moving past that.

At 10:25 GMT USD/CAD is up to 1.1194 from the open at 1.1183. EUR/CAD is lower, falling to 1.4095 from the open at 1.4126. GBP/CAD is higher, moving up to 1.7913 from the open at 1.7906.

If you have any questions, comments or opinions regarding the Canadian Dollar, feel free to post them using the commentary form below.

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Oil Weighs Heavily on Canadian Dollar

By , October 16, 2014 4:23 am

All the Canadian dollar bills denominationsCanadian dollar continues to struggle, thanks in large part to falling oil prices and stock prices. The loonie reached a five year low against the greenback earlier, and it appears that the struggle is likely to continue.

Oil prices have been losing steam recently, and crude oil is seeing its lowest level in quite some time. Currencies that rely on oil prices, like the Canadian dollar, are hard hit by this reality. Indeed, the loonie has lost quite a bit of ground against the greenback in recent days.

Not only are oil prices weighing on the Canadian dollar, but lower stocks are causing problems, too. There is a general flight away from risk and uncertainty, and the Canadian dollar is often associated with a certain degree of risk. Now, with oil dropping and stocks struggling, there isn’t a whole lot to bear the loonie up — especially since some are still concerned about policy divergence with the United States.

It’s been a brutal couple of days, and it doesn’t look as though things will turn around dramatically any time soon.

At 10:20 GMT USD/CAD is up to 1.1360 from the open at 1.1255. EUR/CAD is down to 1.4453 from the open at 1.4449. GBP/CAD is up to 1.8151 from the open at 1.8030.

If you have any questions, comments or opinions regarding the Canadian Dollar, feel free to post them using the commentary form below.

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Canadian Dollar Loses Steam After Initial Gains

By , October 10, 2014 3:01 pm

LooniesThe Canadian dollar advanced today with the help of an impressive employment report that beat analysts’ projections by a wide margin. The currency retained its gains against the euro but was unable to maintain the rally versus the the US dollar and yen and will likely close below the opening level against these currencies.

Canada’s employment data, unlike Australia’s one, was really good, helping the loonie to log gains. Canadian employers added a whooping 74,100 jobs in September, much more than was predicted by experts — 18,700. Growth was registered both in full-time and part-time employment, and full-time jobs were the major contributor to the general increase of employment. As a result, the unemployment rate unexpectedly fell from 7.0 percent to 6.8 percent.

The positive data may prompt the Bank of Canada to review its plans for monetary policy. The BoC was talking about weakness of the labor market as a sign of slack in economic growth, but today’s report gives hopes for traders with bullish bets on the loonie that the central bank may consider monetary tightening earlier than was expected previously.

USD/CAD declined from 1.1185 to 1.1160 intraday but bounced to 1.1212 as of 19:27 GMT today. CAD/JPY fell from 96.41 to 96.11 following the rally to 96.67. At the same time, EUR/CAD was down from 1.4193 to 1.4145.

If you have any questions, comments or opinions regarding the Canadian Dollar, feel free to post them using the commentary form below.

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Canadian Dollar Keeps Huge Gains

By , September 16, 2014 7:35 pm

Canadian coins on Canadian dollar billsThe Canadian dollar was little changed today following yesterday’s big jump. The rally was caused by both domestic fundamentals and developments on the global markets that were largely beneficial for the loonie.

Canadian manufacturing sales jumped 2.5 percent in July to a new record. Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz voiced hope for revival of exports, particularly energy products. As an echo of such outlook, prices for crude oil, the major Canada’s export commodity, rose to the highest level in two weeks.

The Canadian currency was also riding higher on the back of the US dollar’s weakness. The greenback retreated as market participants started to speculate that the monetary policy statement, released today by the Federal Reserve, will not be especially hawkish, keeping the pledge to maintain interest rates low for a “considerable time”.

USD/CAD traded at about 1.0980 as of 1:58 GMT today after sinking from 1.1054 to 1.0968 at the previous trading session. EUR/CAD was near 1.4221 following the slump from 1.4304 to 1.4214. CAD/JPY traded at 97.67, close the highest level since January 7, at the current session after jumping from 96.94 to 97.65 yesterday.

If you have any questions, comments or opinions regarding the Canadian Dollar, feel free to post them using the commentary form below.

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Canadian Dollar Pulls Back a Bit After Housing Starts Data

By , September 11, 2014 3:32 am

LooniesThe latest housing starts data was a bit disappointing, and the result offset some of the better news out of Canada about building permits. Concerns about the housing market continue to weigh, and the continued pressure on oil prices isn’t helping the loonie, either.

Loonie is a little bit lower against many of its counterparts today, thanks to the latest housing data. While the losses are quite tiny, they are still there, and a lot of it has to do with the fact that housing starts came in below expectations.

The disappointment in housing starts couldn’t quite be overcome by the reports from Statistics Canada that building permit growth beat expectations. There are a lot of jitters in the market right now, and that makes it difficult for the loonie to gain the upper hand.

Canadian dollar is also under pressure from oil prices. Once again, oil prices are lower today. Loonie is a commodity currency connected to oil, and dropping prices don’t do much to provide support. Other jitters are resulting from the upcoming Scottish independence vote.

At 10:16 GMT USD/CAD is up to 1.0988 from the open at 1.0937. EUR/CAD is also higher, gaining to 1.4196 from the open at 1.4128. GBP/CAD is up to 1.7843 from the open at 1.7730.

If you have any questions, comments or opinions regarding the Canadian Dollar, feel free to post them using the commentary form below.

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Canadian Dollar Bounces, Rises for Third Session vs. Yen

By , September 9, 2014 9:36 pm

Sir Robert Borden on 100-dollar billThe Canadian dollar bounced today, trimming yesterday’s losses versus its US peer and the euro. The currency also extended its rally versus the Japanese yen for a third straight session.

The loonie will likely have hard times keeping gains considering that fundamentals are not particularly supportive for the currency. Sluggish global economic growth and weak commodity prices are not helpful for the growth-related Canadian currency. Additionally, the Bank of Canada is not likely to raise interest rates in the near future, while prospects for tighter monetary policy from the Federal Reserve should continue to push the US dollar against other currencies, including the Canadian dollar.

Yesterday’s economic data from Canada was not helpful either. The monthly seasonally adjusted annual rate of housing starts was at 192,368 in August, down from 199,813 in July. It was below the median forecast of 197,000.

USD/CAD fell from 1.0983 to 1.0978 as of 3:00 GMT today after reaching the low of 1.0958 intraday. EUR/CAD declined from 1.4210 to 1.4192. CAD/JPY rose from 96.67 to 96.83.

If you have any questions, comments or opinions regarding the Canadian Dollar, feel free to post them using the commentary form below.

Earlier News About the Canadian Dollar:

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Canadian Dollar Retain Strength

By , August 28, 2014 4:50 am

Canadian coins on Canadian dollar billsLoonie is retaining some of its recent strength in Forex trading, logging gains on the Burger King plan to buy Tim Hortons, as well as getting some help from expectations for positive economic data, due out tomorrow.

Canadian dollar is getting a boost from high expectations right now. While some believe that the loonie is overvalued, right now the currency is doing reasonably well against most of its major counterparts.

Loonie got a big boost yesterday, thanks in large part to the news that Burger King is planning to buy coffee and donut chain Tim Hortons. The deal will go down in Canadian currency, so many expect demand for loonies to rise on the international market.

Additionally, the Canadian dollar is gaining some strength from the hopes for good data tomorrow. Many currency traders and analysts expect Statistics Canada to release a GDP report for June that shows a solid increase. Expectations for the loonie are high.

Canadian dollar might not retain this strength, though. Risk appetite is likely to fade on news from Ukraine, and some think loonie is overvalued.

At 11:18 GMT USD/CAD is down to 1.0855 from the open at 1.0865. EUR/CAD is down to 1.4313 from the open at 1.4334. GBP/CAD is down to 1.8009 from the open at 1.8010.

If you have any questions, comments or opinions regarding the Canadian Dollar, feel free to post them using the commentary form below.

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